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Bitcoin price and difficulty projection

AI-generated projections. Bitcoin's price follows a power law of time since genesis, and hashrate growth decelerates from ~45%/yr toward a ~20%/yr long-run floor. Random shocks simulated thousands of times map out the range of possible futures for hashprice.

Post-2032 fees — modeled as a fixed 5% of block subsidy — will become the dominant revenue driver and are highly uncertain. The model skews optimistic if hashrate outpaces expectations, pessimistic if BTC drifts from its historical trend.

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